Michael Moore (film guy) made a statement a few weeks ago. He said one of the biggest blocks of voters is the Non-Voters. He made the point that if even a small portion of that block decides to vote in the 2020 election it would be huge.
He also observed that he felt a large percentage of the Non-Voters would be more left leaning than right leaning and many are simply tired of the lies and poor leadership (my paraphrase).
I think what we saw across the nation, in the 2019 elections, may also be an indication of some fading support for 4–5 due to his own behavior.
A Democratic Govenor was elected in Kentucky. It was a close election but a huge swing to the left. In the 2016 Presidential election 4–5 won by 62% versus 32% in KY. The Republican Govenor was a a die-hard 4–5 supporter and won in 2015 with a 52% to 44% split. He modeled himself after behavior similar to 4–5. He called the public school teachers in the state “thugs”.
A couple of days before the election 4–5 made a trip to KY but I don’t think it helped much and maybe even motivated the Democrats to turn out at higher percentages in the progressive areas.
Just as an aside the defeated govenor pardoned many convicted felons on his depature. This included one convicted of killing a victim, beheading her, and stuffing her body in barrel. How about that for a self professed Christian to pardon this person?
Virginia now has a 3-way Democratic majority in all houses of state government with the 2019 Fall elections.
Mississippi elected a Democratic Govenor even after repeated trips by 4–5 to campaign.
When 4–5 implied that a deceased Democratic Congressman may be looking up from Hell might have also been a bit too far for anybody that is right leaning and moderate.
I have spend lots of time walking door to door in KY doing political canvassing and it does appear that mood has shifted some toward liberals.
Also remember that Mitch McConnell is very much hated in KY so he won’t be getting very many moderate votes in his 2020 election bid. He will either have to go “all in” and hope 4–5 can help him or moderate to get a few progressive votes. Nancy Pelosi has him backpedaling about the Senate trial rules and that may not help him with the Deep Red base.
As the behavior of 4–5 gets more erratic it helps the more moderate voters swing toward the left. The base is the base and they really would vote for 4–5 even if he did shoot somebody on fifth avenue.
There may be a perfect storm brewing that causes 4–5 to loose a few votes in various places for various reasons and create substantial defeat.
